Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 61.484780 69.610951 77.989403 87.242814 97.146002 107.398417 118.786127
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 48.909162 60.441063 72.937948 87.360701 103.425456 120.656922 140.425662
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 41.402481 54.735182 69.732166 87.591179 108.032470 130.473799 156.752405
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 36.049578 50.648702 67.618217 88.369646 112.657425 139.819796 172.137524
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 30.861292 46.105561 64.408315 87.362742 114.788859 145.977785 183.613044
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 27.717234 43.707848 63.449958 88.736657 119.460075 154.866415 198.064647
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 25.230390 41.870659 62.953070 90.473693 124.408779 163.969225 212.692537
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 21.980982 38.696389 60.503682 89.571222 125.988391 168.963294 222.415607
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 18.660161 35.089376 57.219993 87.377207 125.785709 171.675365 229.318853
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 17.719271 34.774235 58.219206 90.606720 132.269085 182.416462 245.776875
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 16.556428 34.013819 58.531483 92.881636 137.519134 191.649570 260.442091
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 14.452738 31.621108 56.439262 91.860902 138.498223 195.594616 268.693170
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 12.480821 29.258085 54.272183 90.667883 139.232210 199.259157 276.674947
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.096647 27.708927 53.170276 90.841423 141.683146 205.032606 287.233838
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.874666 26.296509 52.167319 91.069980 144.146781 210.784512 297.747465
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.913342 25.235217 51.614163 91.868472 147.324148 217.416361 309.346191
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.645148 23.447884 49.832850 90.836895 147.996703 220.828520 316.924859
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.009545 22.797497 49.778367 92.244260 151.923542 228.383642 329.675047
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.500802 22.340510 49.995471 94.023275 156.345691 236.579839 343.248434
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.552331 20.833989 48.417079 93.099032 157.033378 239.935428 350.727506
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.502544 18.914015 46.020191 90.851733 155.818867 240.765278 354.974165
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.395641 19.163250 47.307662 94.159505 162.320244 251.669740 372.018209
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.152709 19.051081 47.954796 96.488907 167.463295 260.813955 386.853924